The 2025 Report Card: Why Some Neighborhoods Soared While Others Stalled

The real estate market is never one-size-fits-all. While the "average" home price in Walton County corrected slightly in late 2025, that statistic hides the real story.

We analyzed every subdivision with meaningful sales volume in the first half of 2025 (Jan–June) versus the second half (July–Dec). The results show a massive divide.

Some neighborhoods saw double-digit appreciation, while others saw double-digit drops. But the most interesting part isn’t who won or lost—it’s why.

🏆 The Winners: Values Climbed Against the Odds

These subdivisions defied the market cooling. Sellers here saw their home values increase significantly in the second half of the year.

1. Windsong (+17.8%) ($265k → $312k)
   
   
2. Saddlebrook (+17.2%) ($322k → $377k)
   
   
3. Ivy Ridge (+17.0%) ($440k → $515k)
   
   
4. Brookview Manor (+13.6%) ($308k → $350k)
   
   
5. Clearwater Estates (+10.6%) ($307k → $340k)
   
   
6. Pinewood Estates (+10.0%) ($550k → $605k)
   
   
7. Green Acres (+6.5%) ($265k → $282k)
   
   
8. Stonecreek (+5.8%) ($345k → $365k)
   
   
9. Red Oak Ridge (+5.3%) ($524k → $551k)
   
   
10. Providence Club (+4.6%) ($573k → $600k)
    
    
11. Southfork (+4.0%)
    
    
12. Enclave At Logan Point (+2.1%)
    
    
13. Woodland Hills (+1.6%)
    
    
14. Village Place (+1.4%)
    
    
15. River Station (+0.2%)
    
    
    
    
    What's Your Next Move?
    
    The market has shifted, and the strategy you used in 2024 won't work in 2026.
    
    🏠 For Sellers: Curious if your home is on the "Winners" list? Don't rely on a Zestimate. Get an accurate, data-backed valuation of your specific property in today's market. 👉 [Click Here to Get Your 2026 Home Valuation]
    
    🔑 For Buyers: Want to find the neighborhoods where prices are dropping and sellers are paying closing costs? Stop guessing and start seeing the real deals. 👉 [Click Here to Search "Deal" Listings in Walton County]
    
    
    

⚠️ The Correction: Where Prices Adjusted Down

In these neighborhoods, median sold prices corrected downward in the second half of the year.

1. Dove Landing (-21.4%) ($280k → $220k)
   
   
2. Young Heights (-17.8%) ($267k → $220k)
   
   
3. Richmond Place (-14.1%) ($507k → $436k)
   
   
4. Walton Mills (-11.0%) ($248k → $221k)
   
   
5. Huntington Ridge (-7.6%) ($379k → $350k)
   
   
6. Laurel Oaks (-7.1%) ($382k → $355k)
   
   
7. Thompson Mill Forest (-6.6%) ($342k → $319k)
   
   
8. Alcovy Bluffs (-5.5%) ($509k → $481k)
   
   
9. Emerald Cove (-4.9%)
   
   
10. Belle Woode Estates (-4.4%)
    
    
11. Creekside (-3.7%)
    
    
12. Conner Springs (-3.2%)
    
    
13. Bay Creek Commons (-2.7%)
    
    
14. Spring Creek (-2.5%)
    
    
15. Town Park (-1.5%)
    
    
    
    
    What's Your Next Move?
    
    The market has shifted, and the strategy you used in 2024 won't work in 2026.
    
    🏠 For Sellers: Curious if your home is on the "Winners" list? Don't rely on a Zestimate. Get an accurate, data-backed valuation of your specific property in today's market. 👉 [Click Here to Get Your 2026 Home Valuation]
    
    🔑 For Buyers: Want to find the neighborhoods where prices are dropping and sellers are paying closing costs? Stop guessing and start seeing the real deals. 👉 [Click Here to Search "Deal" Listings in Walton County]
    
    
    

The "Why": What Actually Drove Value in 2025?

We dug into the listing data to see what made the difference. Was it renovated kitchens? New roofs?

Surprisingly, the answer is no. The "Loser" neighborhoods actually had more upgraded kitchens (granite, stainless steel) than the winners.

So why did they lose value? Because buyers stopped paying for "shiny objects" and started paying for SPACE.

Here are the three factors that separated the winners from the losers:

1. The "Elbow Room" Factor This was the single biggest differentiator.

• The Winners: Average Lot Size = 0.74 Acres
  
  
• The Losers: Average Lot Size = 0.59 Acres
  
  

Buyers were willing to pay a premium for neighborhoods like Providence Club and Red Oak Ridge because they offer nearly 3/4 of an acre. In a cooling market, "privacy" holds value better than "proximity."

2. The "Basement" Bonus

• The Winners: 24% of sold homes had basements.
  
  
• The Losers: Only 12% had basements.
  
  

Buyers looked at the "Loser" homes (often on slabs) and decided that even with a nice kitchen, they were capped on space. They flocked to neighborhoods where the house had room to expand.

3. "Bone Structure" Over "Makeup" Here is the counter-intuitive stat: 67% of the "Loser" listings mentioned kitchen upgrades (Granite/Quartz), compared to only 52% of the Winners.

The neighborhoods that lost value were often smaller homes trying to "compensate" with nice finishes. Sellers flipped kitchens, hoping to push the price up. The market rejected it. Buyers decided they would rather have a larger home on a big lot (The Winner) than a small, updated home on a tiny lot (The Loser).

The Bottom Line for Sellers

The subdivisions that won in 2025 offered lifestyle assets that cannot be added later: Land, Privacy, and Square Footage.

If you have a small lot, don't over-improve your kitchen, thinking it will save your value. Price for your square footage. If you have a big lot, play up the land—that is your real money maker right now.

Do you know where your home stands? You can't rely on Zillow to know these micro-trends. If you want the real numbers for your specific street, reply to this email. I'll run the report for you.


Provided courtesy of the Davis Team | Keller Williams Atlanta Partners 

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